PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 77%Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.7K
Liquidity
$6.6K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
1
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 16, 26, 11:36 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by which date?
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PolymarketMojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date?
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KalshiWill Xi Jinping visit the United States?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Huawei founder and CEO Ren Zhengfei is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe.
- The images or video must be authentic.
- Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
- Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
Open markets
ChinaKALSHIBangladesh vs China
- Bangladesh-46.0pt52%
- China+45.0pt48%
- Total Vol
- $211.4K
- 24h Vol
- $192.3K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Total Vol
- $41.8M
- 24h Vol
- $167.7K
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $13.4M
- 24h Vol
- $116.9K
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+0.8pt96%
- December 31+1.6pt96%
- September 30+0.3pt95%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba-3.5pt84.6%
- Moonshot+4.8pt10.6%
- Z.ai+0.2pt1.9%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIWill Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Before Oct 1, 2026-3.0pt92%
- Before Nov 1, 2026-7.0pt90%
- Total Vol
- $205.2K
- 24h Vol
- $57.1K
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Ren Zhengfei public appearance by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31 at 77% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Ren Zhengfei public appearance by which date? resolve?
- Ren Zhengfei public appearance by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Ren Zhengfei public appearance by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Huawei founder and CEO Ren Zhengfei is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET).