PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
20% to 39.99% 34%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$20
Liquidity
$8.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+6.0 pts
Market data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Sep 8, 26, 8:33 PM UTCMay 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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FutuurRules
This market resolves based on the highest monthly S2+ drought area percentage recorded for the state of Minas Gerais across the 2026/27 coffee growing season.
- For the purpose of this market, the "2026/27 coffee growing season" is defined as the six-month window (September 2026 through February 2027) which corresponds to the flowering and bean-development period for arabica coffee in Minas Gerais.
- This is the crop-development period for the coffee harvested in 2027, and is distinct from the 2026 harvest (typically May–September 2026) and the subsequent shipping and marketing period for that crop.
- This label is descriptive only; resolution depends solely on the calendar months stated above.
- For each month in the window, the S2+ drought area percentage is the percentage of the total area of the state of Minas Gerais classified at S2 (Seca Grave) or a more severe category.
- This is the value shown in the "S2–S4" column of ANA's "Área Acumulada" (accumulated area) tabular view for Minas Gerais, in the official tabular data published by the Agência Nacional de Águas e Saneamento Básico (ANA).
