NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%?
PoliticsPolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Mar 3, 2024, 1:01 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probabilityYes 100%
Market quality
15 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 122 days ago
StaleFeb 12, 24, 11:32 PMFeb 13, 24, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Rules
Following the expulsion of representative elect George Santos (R), a special election was scheduled for February 13, 2024 to fill his vacant seat.
- The election for New York's 3rd district seat will take place between Tom Suozzi, a Democrat, and Mazi Melesa Pilip, a Republican.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" Tom Suozzi wins the NY-3 Special Election by a margin of over 5%.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The margin will be determined by taking Suozzi's percentage of the vote (# Suozzi votes / Total votes for Suozzi + Pilip) and subtracting Pilip's percentage of the vote (# Pilip votes / Total votes for Suozzi + Pilip).
- If this election does not take place by June 30, 2024, this market will resolve 50-50.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 100% as of April 25, 2026.
- When does NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%? resolve?
- NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%? is scheduled to resolve on February 13, 2024.
- How is NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Following the expulsion of representative elect George Santos (R), a special election was scheduled for February 13, 2024 to fill his vacant seat.