NY-3 Special Election: Will Suozzi (D) win by over 5%?
Politics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Mar 3, 2024, 1:01 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
Yes100%
No0%
Won
Lost
Rules
Following the expulsion of representative elect George Santos (R), a special election was scheduled for February 13, 2024 to fill his vacant seat.
- The election for New York's 3rd district seat will take place between Tom Suozzi, a Democrat, and Mazi Melesa Pilip, a Republican.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" Tom Suozzi wins the NY-3 Special Election by a margin of over 5%.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The margin will be determined by taking Suozzi's percentage of the vote (# Suozzi votes / Total votes for Suozzi + Pilip) and subtracting Pilip's percentage of the vote (# Pilip votes / Total votes for Suozzi + Pilip).
- If this election does not take place by June 30, 2024, this market will resolve 50-50.
