PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 99%+0.6ptLeader of 5 outcomes
December 31 99%+0.6ptMarket quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$663.8
Liquidity
$9.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 1, 26, 10:49 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
August 31Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Haiku" and be designated as version 4.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 4.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Haiku 4.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Haiku 5, while models whose name does not include "Haiku" or which retain a version designation below 4.6, such as Claude Haiku 4.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.