PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
October 28 15%Leader of 32 outcomes
October 28 15%Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$11.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 12:12 AM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released by which date?
PolymarketWhen will a new Claude Haiku be released (after 4.5)?
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Manifold MarketsWill a new Claude Haiku model be released in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketWill a non-lab AI-only effort solve a Millennium Problem in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Haiku" and be designated as version 4.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 4.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Haiku 4.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Haiku 5, while models whose name does not include "Haiku" or which retain a version designation below 4.6, such as Claude Haiku 4.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website.
