PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
1430+ 9%-67.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
1430+ 9%-67.0ptMarket quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$27.7K
Liquidity
$3.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
0.8 pt
Tight spreadComments
1
Market data
Updated 30 minutes ago
Oct 7, 26, 4:58 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiOpenAI market share this week
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mistral AI's Mistral Large 4 model, when added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must be Mistral Large 4 (released in public preview on October 6, 2026), identified by a name or model identifier that includes "Mistral" and "Large" with a version designation of 4 or 4.0, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors — for example, mistral-large-4-0 or Mistral-Large-4.0.
- Models with any other version designation, such as Mistral Large 3 or a later Mistral Large 4.1, and models whose name does not include "Large," such as Mistral Medium 3.5 or Ministral, Magistral, Codestral, Devstral, Pixtral, or Voxtral models, will not qualify.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.