Military intervention in Niger by October 31?
Geopolitics
PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No
Resolved: Nov 1, 2023, 6:38 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No 100%
Market quality
17 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownBid / Ask
0.0% / 100.0%
Spread
100.0 pt
Wide spread7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 123 days ago
StaleSep 18, 23, 9:11 PMOct 31, 23, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if troops from countries other than Niger conduct officially acknowledged offensive military operations within the sovereign territory of Niger between September 18, 2023 and October 31, 2023 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the intervention to count toward a "Yes" resolution, the officially acknowledged offensive military operations must involve that country's physical military presence within the sovereign territory of Niger.
- For the purposes of this market, "offensive military operations" resulting in a "Yes" resolution specifically do not include actions exclusively related to surveillance performed by aircraft, drones, satellites, etc. Official acknowledgement must include statements indicating foreign military intervention from the foreign government making the intervention.
- A consensus of credible reporting may be used to ascertain the validity of an official acknowledgement.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Military intervention in Niger by October 31??
- Polymarket prices No at 100% as of April 24, 2026.
- When does Military intervention in Niger by October 31? resolve?
- Military intervention in Niger by October 31? is scheduled to resolve on October 31, 2023.
- How is Military intervention in Niger by October 31? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if troops from countries other than Niger conduct officially acknowledged offensive military operations within the sovereign territory of Niger between September 18, 2023 and October 31, 2023 11:59 PM ET.