PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No Prison Time
Resolved: Aug 1, 2026, 7:10 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
No Prison Time 100%+0.6ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$17.6
Liquidity
$94.9K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 31 days ago
StaleMay 12, 25, 10:50 PMDec 31, 25, 12:00 PM
Probability Timeline
No Prison Time100%
<5 years0%
5-10 years1%
10-20 years0%
20-30 years0%
30+ years2%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v.
- Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals.
- If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "the named outcome."
- If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "the named outcome."
- For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving.
