PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Aug 31, 2026, 2:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No Change 66.3%+8.5ptLeader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$2.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Aug 27, 26, 11:06 PMOct 22, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for No Change is 69%. Quotes span about 3 percentage points between the widest venues. The venues do not agree on which outcome is ahead.
CoinRithm reference No Change 69% · 2 venues · 3 pt venue spread
- Also available on Kalshi — Bank of Korea rate decision in October · Maintain current rate 58%
- Also available on Limitless — Bank of Korea decision in October? · No Change 72%
Open markets
Central Banks
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 067.9%
- H 25-1.0pt24.5%
- C 25-1.0pt2.8%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $13.7K
- 24h Vol
- $13.7K
POLYMARKETReserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- 25 bps increase+20.4pt48%
- No change-23.5pt45%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase+0.1pt98%
- No change+0.1pt2%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHINumber of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 5 cuts-24.0pt44%
- 7 or more cuts18%
- Exactly 6 cuts+6.0pt16%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $92K
KALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps-3.0pt93.2%
- Maintain current rate+2.0pt2.9%
- Cut more than 25bps1.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $26.2K
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps-2.0pt79.1%
- Maintain current rate+10.0pt18.2%
- Hike more than 25bps-1.0pt0.9%
+2 more outcomes
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Bank of Korea decision in November?
- Bank of Japan Decision in September?
- Bank of Canada Decision in September?
- Bank of Canada decision in Sep 2026?
- Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Poland rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in September?
- Bank of Brazil decision in September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Bank of Korea decision in October??
- Polymarket prices No Change at 66% as of August 31, 2026.
- When does Bank of Korea decision in October? resolve?
- Bank of Korea decision in October? is scheduled to resolve on October 22, 2026.
- How is Bank of Korea decision in October? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- Where else is Bank of Korea decision in October? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Limitless.