Selected book midpoint
OpenAI · —
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Stored reference
OpenAI 79%Leader of 12 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
OpenAI 79%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$6K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$4.6K
Bid / Ask
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OpenAISpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 26, 26, 6:01 AM UTCNov 3, 26, 5:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · OpenAI
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the AI lab with the second highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026.
- A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026.
- The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
- This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026 once the figures for the week of November 2, 2026 are first displayed.
- If the figures for the week of November 2, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on November 6, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026 at that time.
- If no data is available for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".