Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 81%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleDec 17, 23, 12:08 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
UN projects world pupulation will reach 8.5 billion in the year 2030.
- Are they right?
- Article: https://www.un.org/en/global-issues/population#:~:text=The%20world%20population%20is%20projected,and%2010.4%20billion%20by%202100.
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- 27°C+8.5pt27.4%
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+8 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will world population reach 8.5 billion by end of year 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 81% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will world population reach 8.5 billion by end of year 2030? resolve?
- Will world population reach 8.5 billion by end of year 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.
- How is Will world population reach 8.5 billion by end of year 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: UN projects world pupulation will reach 8.5 billion in the year 2030.