This market resolved: 13°C
Resolved: Oct 25, 2026, 4:44 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 10:51 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
13°C100%
10°C1%
11°C0%
12°C2%
14°C43%
15°C31%
16°C7%
17°C0%
18°C0%
19°C or higher1%
9°C or below1%
13°CWon
Before close: 100% ·
10°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
11°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
12°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
14°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
15°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
16°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
17°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
18°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
19°C or higherLost
Before close: 0% ·
9°C or belowLost
Before close: 0% ·
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) on 25 Oct '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.