Will the wild population of the Beijing Loach (Cobitis beijingensis) become extinct by 2100?
ChinaOne-OffManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 61.5%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 6, 25, 10:43 AM UTCJan 1, 00, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market focuses on the extinction risk of the wild population of the Beijing Loach, a newly discovered species, that is not evaluated by the IUCN yet.
- It will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct in the Wild or Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier.
- It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the wild population is extinct.
- The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the wild population of the Beijing Loach persists.
- For more information about the species, see:
- https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202502/1329254.shtml
