Will working for the Federal government be considered an EA cause area by 2028?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will working for the Federal government be considered an EA cause area by 2028??

Manifold Markets prices No at 61% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will working for the Federal government be considered an EA cause area by 2028? resolve?

Will working for the Federal government be considered an EA cause area by 2028? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.

How is Will working for the Federal government be considered an EA cause area by 2028? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Recently I've been reading some various next-level arguments that in order to carry out their anti-regulatory agenda, Elon and Vance will remove many government bureaucrats and replace them with TPOT.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+0.1pt91.2%
• Republican Party8.9%

Total Vol

$79.7M

24h Vol

$3.7M

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+2.0pt68.5%
• Ken Paxton-3.0pt31.5%

Total Vol

$49.7M

24h Vol

$3.6M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+2.0pt65.5%
• D-House, R-Senate28.5%
• Republicans sweep-0.7pt

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase76.2%
• No change+2.0pt21.8%
• 50+ bps increase-0.3pt2%

+2 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party+2.0pt93.1%
• Republican Party-2.0pt6.9%

Total Vol

$27.1M

24h Vol

$2.6M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep65%
• R Senate, D+1.0pt27.2%
• Republicans Sweep-1.0pt6.8%

+2 more outcomes

• Texas Governor winner?
• US House Control After the 2026 Midterms
• Who will control the Senate?
• California Governor winner? (Person)
• Los Angeles Mayor winner?
• Michigan Senate winner?
• US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
• Florida Governor winner?
• 2026 Texas Senate Race
• Alaska Senate winner?
• Iowa Senate winner?
• 2026 Michigan Senate Race