Will Winston Peters be the leader of NZ First at the end of the next parliamentary term (likely 2026)?

One-OffPolitics3mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 85.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 hours ago

Stale

Nov 28, 23, 1:28 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Report a data issue with this market

Will Winston Peters be the leader of NZ First at the end of the next parliamentary term (likely 2026)?

One-OffPolitics3mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 85.4%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 hours ago

Stale

Nov 28, 23, 1:28 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Next leader of the NZ National Party

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Presidential Election Winner 2028

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Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election

Polymarket

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Kalshi

2028 Republican presidential nominee

Kalshi

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will Winston Peters be the leader of NZ First at the end of the next parliamentary term (likely 2026)??: Manifold Markets prices Yes at 85% as of September 8, 2026.
When does Will Winston Peters be the leader of NZ First at the end of the next parliamentary term (likely 2026)? resolve?: Will Winston Peters be the leader of NZ First at the end of the next parliamentary term (likely 2026)? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

Will Winston Peters be the leader of NZ First at the end of the next parliamentary term (likely 2026)?

Will Winston Peters be the leader of NZ First at the end of the next parliamentary term (likely 2026)?

Frequently asked questions

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