Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 56.5%
Yes 56.5%Forecasters
49
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleFeb 3, 24, 6:50 PM UTCMar 1, 35, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2036 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).
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