What are the current odds for Will we get fusion reactors before 2035??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 52.5% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Will we get fusion reactors before 2035? resolve?

Will we get fusion reactors before 2035? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2035.

Paper trade this

Will we get fusion reactors before 2035?

Health & MedicineOne-OffWeather8y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 52.5%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Stale

Aug 1, 26, 4:23 PM UTCMar 1, 35, 10:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2035 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).

Questions with the same criteria:
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a

Report a data issue with this market

Will we get fusion reactors before 2035?

Will we get fusion reactors before 2035?

Open markets

When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

How many US births in 2026?

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Pandemic in 2026?

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Open markets

When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

How many US births in 2026?

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Pandemic in 2026?

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?