Will Vedanta Aluminium (Vedanta Limited)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?
ChinaOne-OffCommodities2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 9:52 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastYes 82.4%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleMay 4, 26, 5:53 PM UTCMay 31, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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ForecastExRules
This market resolves YES if Vedanta Aluminium (Vedanta Limited)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 (January 1 – December 31, 2028) exceeds 2.6 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2029 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2028 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- Vedanta Aluminium.
- FY24 2.4 Mt; brownfield expansion ramping.
- The 2.6 Mt strike for calendar 2028 sits near the run-rate; if the FY26 2.8–3.0 Mt target is met on schedule, 2028 production could come in above this strike.
- Calendar-year resolution sums FY28 Q4 + FY29 Q1–Q3 quarterly releases.
