Will Vedanta Aluminium (Vedanta Limited)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?
ChinaOne-OffCommoditiesBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 67.9%
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6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleMay 4, 26, 5:53 PM UTCMay 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
This market resolves YES if Vedanta Aluminium (Vedanta Limited)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 (January 1 – December 31, 2027) exceeds 2.6 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2028 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2027 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- Vedanta Aluminium is part of Vedanta Limited; primary smelters at Jharsuguda and BALCO (Korba).
- FY24 (Apr 2023 – Mar 2024) production was ~2.4 Mt with brownfield expansion ramping at Lanjigarh refinery and Jharsuguda smelter.
- Vedanta's stated FY26 target is ~2.8–3.0 Mt. The 2.6 Mt strike for calendar 2027 sits near the median plausible outcome; calendar-year resolution sums FY27 Q4 + FY28 Q1–Q3 quarterly releases.
- Resolution sources (priority order):
