Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 10:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Yes 73.8%
Forecasters
41
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Feb 16, 25, 12:54 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
AGI is determined by Manifold's AGI When market:
- https://manifold.markets/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708
