Will UNICEF's 2026 Afghanistan appeal finish at least 50% funded?
One-OffSpacePoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle EastEuropeTechSociety & Culture3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 80.5%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 26, 26, 4:05 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Russia conduct military operations in Afghanistan against ISIS-K before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Taliban lose control of Afghanistan before the Jojo's Bizarre Adventure manga ends?
Manifold MarketsBagram Airbase in Afghanistan under US control on November 7. 2028?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketWill a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
PolymarketEuropean military action against Iran by which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if UNICEF's final official funding status covering 2026 reports that its Afghanistan Humanitarian Action for Children appeal was at least 50% funded.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Use UNICEF's own funding-status calculation, including carry-forward funds where UNICEF includes them.
- Later revisions to the appeal target count.
- Source: UNICEF Afghanistan appeal.
- The market closes at noon UTC on December 31, twelve hours before year-end.
Open markets
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-1.8pt9%
- Google2%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- 24h Vol
- $121.9K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Total Vol
- $53.1K
- 24h Vol
- $53.1K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.0pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-16.0pt19%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 2027-0.5pt67%
- June 30, 2027-0.5pt53%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will UNICEF's 2026 Afghanistan appeal finish at least 50% funded??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 81% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will UNICEF's 2026 Afghanistan appeal finish at least 50% funded? resolve?
- Will UNICEF's 2026 Afghanistan appeal finish at least 50% funded? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will UNICEF's 2026 Afghanistan appeal finish at least 50% funded? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if UNICEF's final official funding status covering 2026 reports that its Afghanistan Humanitarian Action for Children appeal was at least 50% funded.