Will TSLA a reach a 6 trillion dollar market cap before 2031?
CustomEquitiesTechSpaceCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate4y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 96.8%
Forecasters
33
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleDec 30, 24, 5:54 PM UTCJan 2, 31, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Tesla's market capitalization reaches or exceeds $6 trillion USD at any point during normal market trading hours (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET on days when the US stock market is open) before January 1, 2031.
- Update 2026-04-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - In the event of a SpaceX/Tesla merger: if Tesla no longer trades under the TSLA ticker, it will resolve NO
- Resolution is based on Tesla's market cap under the TSLA ticker, not stock price
Open markets
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- 11–14B-0.1pt7.8%
+5 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
- 600B+-0.3pt95%
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- 400–600B-0.1pt1%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will TSLA a reach a 6 trillion dollar market cap before 2031??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 97% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will TSLA a reach a 6 trillion dollar market cap before 2031? resolve?
- Will TSLA a reach a 6 trillion dollar market cap before 2031? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2031.
- How is Will TSLA a reach a 6 trillion dollar market cap before 2031? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution Criteria