KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability22,600 or below 31.7%Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$43.8
Liquidity
$21.1K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
9.0% / 21.0%
Spread
12.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 30 minutes ago
Apr 20, 26, 6:30 PMDec 31, 26, 9:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
22,200 or below21%
Volume trend
$44Jul 221d of dataJul 29
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If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 22800.01, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the Nasdaq 100 index value after issuance and before Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 22600.01, then the market resolves to Yes.