Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86.1%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 23, 23, 2:02 PM UTCAug 23, 33, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Sum (Int( trillion dollar)) market cap companies
Manifold MarketsWill TSLA a reach a 6 trillion dollar market cap before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill the current Israel-Hamas conflict last ten years, as some senior Israeli officials warned during Biden's trip?
Manifold MarketsDollar General Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiDollar General same-store sales growth in fiscal 2026
KalshiMonday net dollar retention rate for the >$100k arr cohort in fiscal 2026
KalshiRules
Formerly twitter
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- 40-64+10.5pt66.3%
- <40-3.5pt17.3%
- 65-89-6.0pt15.4%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $253.9K
- 24h Vol
- $209.7K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- 180-199+2.0pt27.2%
- 200-219+4.0pt23.3%
- 160-179-1.0pt15.5%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+19.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $271.7K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T24%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt19%
- $1.75–$2.0T-4.5pt16%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?
- 180-199-0.5pt19.6%
- 200-21917.8%
- 160-17916.8%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- Coca-Cola Point of Sale Growth in September
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
- Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026
- Largest Company end of September?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for X reaches a trillion dollar market cap in ten years?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 86% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does X reaches a trillion dollar market cap in ten years resolve?
- X reaches a trillion dollar market cap in ten years is scheduled to resolve on August 23, 2033.
- How is X reaches a trillion dollar market cap in ten years settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Formerly twitter