Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Jul 27, 2026, 3:38 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastNo 99%
Forecasters
30
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 25 days ago
StaleFeb 7, 26, 9:23 PMJun 29, 26, 11:59 PM
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
99%
1%
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
US Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $13.5M
- 24h Vol
- $906.1K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-21.5pt26%
- October 31-27.5pt14%
- August 31-28.9pt6%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $690.7M
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $58.7M
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 3167%
- October 31-3.5pt42%
- September 30+2.0pt28%
+17 more outcomes
- What will Trump say during his rally with Darline Graham?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Atlanta vs Milwaukee: Home Runs
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump Die Before June 30th 2026?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 99% as of July 27, 2026.
- When does Will Trump Die Before June 30th 2026 resolve?
- Will Trump Die Before June 30th 2026 is scheduled to resolve on June 29, 2026.