Will there be a crime associated with the One Ring within 5 years of it being opened?
One-OffCrime & JusticeEntertainment1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.5%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJun 20, 23, 3:42 AM UTCJul 1, 28, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Will there be a crime associated with the one of one copy of the One Ring?
- Crimes include murder, theft, etc. The ring has been found: https://www.psacard.com/cert/77032826
- Release announcement: https://magic.wizards.com/en/news/announcements/a-first-look-at-the-lord-of-the-rings-tales-of-middle-earth
- [link preview]
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be a crime associated with the One Ring within 5 years of it being opened??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 92% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will there be a crime associated with the One Ring within 5 years of it being opened? resolve?
- Will there be a crime associated with the One Ring within 5 years of it being opened? is scheduled to resolve on July 1, 2028.
- How is Will there be a crime associated with the One Ring within 5 years of it being opened? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will there be a crime associated with the one of one copy of the One Ring?