PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 98%+0.1pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.5% / 1.8%
Spread
0.3 pt
Tight spreadComments
2
7d Change
-0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jan 13, 26, 3:50 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Eric Adams charged by December 31?
PolymarketAnthony Fauci charged by December 31?
PolymarketGavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiWill any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?
KalshiWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
GeminiRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Tom Lee by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.