KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: Above $80,000.00 (99%)
Resolved: Sep 3, 2026, 3:31 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 8:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Above $90,000.001%
Above $82,500.0078%
Above $97,500.003%
Above $87,500.001%
Above $85,000.0093%
Above $92,500.006%
Above $95,000.003%
Coin Price Context
Coin price movements are shown for context and do not imply causation.
BTC$77.31K → $81.24K+5.1%
Above $80,000.00Won
Above $82,500.00Lost
Above $85,000.00Lost
Above $92,500.00Lost
Above $87,500.00Lost
Above $90,000.00Lost
Above $97,500.00Lost
Above $95,000.00Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026 is ever above $ 80000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CF Benchmarks
- At each minute throughout the market duration, a settlement value is calculated using every minute-by-minute CF BRTI price for BTC.
- For each of these individual minute-by-minute checks, the top 20% and bottom 20% of the cumulative dataset are removed before calculating the average of the remaining values.
- If the trimmed mean associated with any single minute during the period is above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes.
- This methodology reduces the impact of extreme price spikes or drops.
- The measurement period runs from when the market is issued until the specified end time.