Will the US Navy continue their streak of never having a nuclear accident at the end of 2026?
One-OffScienceSociety & Culture2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 95.6%
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Updated 43 minutes ago
Jul 22, 25, 11:44 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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resolves YES if there is no confirmed nuclear accident on a vessel under control and operation of the US navy
- https://world-nuclear.org/information-library/non-power-nuclear-applications/transport/nuclear-powered-ships
- In the US, UK and French navies there has never been a nuclear plant accident.
- The US Navy has accumulated over 6200 reactor-years of accident-free experience involving 526 nuclear reactor cores over the course of 240 million kilometres, without a single radiological incident, over a period of more than 50 years.
- It operated 81 nuclear-powered ships (11 aircraft carriers, 70 submarines – 18 SSBN/SSGN, 52 SSN) with 92 reactors in 2017.
- There were 10 Nimitz-class carriers in service (CVN 68-77), each designed for 50-year service life with one mid-life refuelling and complex overhaul of their two A4W Westinghouse reactors*.
