Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 55 or higher on September 30, 2026?
DailyAIManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (97.4%)
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 7:53 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 5:56 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Trends
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index?
KalshiWill an Open Weights Model be #1 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index in 2026
Manifold MarketsWhere will Gemini 4 Pro score on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index vs the leading model prior to its inclusion?
Manifold MarketsWill Qwen be the top small open model (4B-40B) on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index at the end of 2026?
Manifold Marketstop model on artificial analysis is a anthropic model by the end of the month?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRules
This question will have a different resolution criteria than my earlier 1K liquidity question.
- I won’t adjust scores this time.
- For example if a model achieves 55 but then a bench update happens and it goes down to 50 before market resolution, it will count as NO.