Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?
AIDailyManifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (98.6%)
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 7:57 AM
Provider-verified resolution
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 5:55 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes98.6%
No1.4000000000000057%
Won
Lost
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if the highest Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score shown for any model is 65.0 or higher.
- Exactly 65.0 resolves YES.
- Source and timing
- A single reading: the leaderboard table on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index evaluation page at artificialanalysis.ai, default filters, at 23:59 UTC on September 30, 2026.
- I will screenshot the page at that time and post it here.
- Third-party mirrors and trackers do not count, including where they disagree with the source.