Current community forecast
No 78.9%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJan 2, 24, 5:49 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
In 2100 the top AI system should be asked whether it think that there is more than 1% probability that there exists a universe with \beth_37 sentient beings in it.
- If it refuses to give an answer this question resolves to N/A; otherwise it resolves to its answer.
- If the top AI system is not publicly available, the most capable one that is publicly available can be asked, provided there is no strong reason to believe their answers would drastically differ.
