Will the North Atlantic right whale be considered functionally extinct before 2040?
One-OffScience13yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 75.5%
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20
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Forecast
Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Jun 12, 23, 4:48 PM UTCDec 12, 39, 11:59 PM UTC
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Was watching a video from MayaHiga, a streamer/conservationist and it mentioned that North Atlantic right whale are predicted to be functionally extinct by 2035 and full on extinction by 2044.
- (https://www.youtube.com/embed/uIoI4na-gUs) The source of the figures being quoted by the executive director of WDC wasn't made clear.
- It seems to conflict with Wikipedia who lists them as an example of a species that some scientists already consider functionally extinct.
- So, for this market to resolve YES, I'll defer to WDC's stance on whether they are considered functionally extinct.
- This market will resolve YES if at any point before 2040 a declaration of functional extinction is made which at the time is believed to be true (even if it is later proven wrong).
