Will the next person to walk on the moon be American?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the next person to walk on the moon be American??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 56.8% as of November 3, 2026.

When does Will the next person to walk on the moon be American? resolve?

Will the next person to walk on the moon be American? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2090.

How is Will the next person to walk on the moon be American? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: By which I mean: will he be a citizen of the USA taken to the Moon on an American mission.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX-3.5pt62%
• Anthropic-0.2pt30%
• ByteDance0%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$7.4M

24h Vol

$50.1K

POLYMARKET

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

• 1-0.5pt91.9%
• 2+0.5pt8.1%
• 3-0.1pt0%

+3 more outcomes

KALSHI

How many launches will SpaceX have in November?

• Above 696%
• Above 786%
• Above 8-16.0pt50.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

• Google67.3%
• Anthropic-1.5pt27.7%
• OpenAI+1.0pt4%

+18 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

• Before 2028-6.0pt71%
• Before May 1, 2027-4.0pt55%
• Before Apr 1, 2027

KALSHI

How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?

• Above 12098.5%
• Above 140-4.0pt63.5%
• Above 14515.5%

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