Will the first person to walk on Mars be white?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the first person to walk on Mars be white??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 63% as of November 3, 2026.

When does Will the first person to walk on Mars be white? resolve?

Will the first person to walk on Mars be white? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2101.

How is Will the first person to walk on Mars be white? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If multiple people walk at the same time, resolves to % of white people

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?

• 380-399+30.6pt49.5%
• 360-379+33.1pt40.6%
• 400-419-20.5pt7.9%

+27 more outcomes

Total Vol

$2.8M

24h Vol

$767.4K

KALSHI

BTC price on Nov 3, 2026 at 6am EST?

• $76,800 or above99.5%
• $76,700 or above99.5%
• $76,600 or above99.5%

KALSHI

Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?

• 30,000 to 30,499.99+1.0pt8.5%
• 29,000 to 29,499.99+1.0pt6.5%
• 28,500 to 28,999.99

KALSHI

BTC 15 min · $76,940.08 target

• Yes86.5%
• No13.5%

Total Vol

$1.1M

24h Vol

$422.9K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+4.1pt52.3%
• Claude-11.4pt29.3%
• ChatGPT-1.4pt5.5%

KALSHI

BTC price on Nov 3, 2026 at 5pm EST?

• $73,250 or above98.5%
• $72,000 or above99%
• $71,500 or above99.5%

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