What are the current odds for Will the first person to walk on Mars be Muslim??

Manifold Markets prices No at 88.7% as of November 6, 2026.

When does Will the first person to walk on Mars be Muslim? resolve?

Will the first person to walk on Mars be Muslim? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2101.

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If multiple people walk at the same time, resolves to % of Muslim people

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 88.7%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Stale

Apr 7, 24, 5:06 AM UTCJan 1, 01, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

If multiple people walk at the same time, resolves to % of Muslim people