Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 65.9% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution? resolve?

Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.

How is Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: YES if a major, new AI model (released within 6 months) correctly predicts the final outcome of this specific market when prompted with the market text 90 days after its launch.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+9.2pt96%
• Anthropic-5.2pt4%
• Alibaba+0.1pt0%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.8M

24h Vol

$183.4K

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic-1.0pt56%
• Google+1.0pt35%
• OpenAI+0.1pt6%

+12 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt96.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202795%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt93.5%

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+0.7pt59.5%
• Gemini-0.1pt30.1%
• ChatGPT+0.2pt

POLYMARKET

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?

• December 31-5.5pt82%
• December 15-14.0pt74%
• November 30+6.5pt64%

+5 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-1.0pt28.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.6pt24%
• $1.5–$1.75T+1.3pt17.3%

+7 more outcomes

• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?