This market resolved: Yes (94.4%)
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 12:40 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 11:53 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes94.4%
No5.599999999999994%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of March 2027?
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PolymarketRules
resolves to my impression a week or two after launch and I've had the opportunity to try it out.
- Flash/instant/mini doesn't count.
- Should be pro or similar. 3.2 pro-preview, 3.5 pro, 4 pro all okay