Will the highest marginal tax rate go above 50% by 2040?

KALSHI

US existing home sales for September

• Above 3.60M+1.0ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask98%–99%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 09:23 AM UTC
• Above 3.70MStored bid–ask95%–98%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 09:23 AM UTC
• Above 3.90MStored bid–ask88%–90%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 09:23 AM UTC

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$18.4K

24h Vol

$8.8K

POLYMARKET

Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026

• Ariel Pakes21%
• Michael Woodford12%
• Susan Athey+1.0pt12%

+14 more outcomes

Total Vol

POLYMARKET

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026

• 46.0 to 48.9+8.0pt37%
• 43.0 to 45.927%
• 52.0 to 54.98%

+4 more outcomes

Total Vol

KALSHI

Poland rate decision in November

• Maintain current rate+5.0ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask67%–74%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 09:23 AM UTC
• Hike 1-25bpsStored bid–ask12%–23%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 09:23 AM UTC
• Cut 1-25bps

POLYMARKET

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

• No-1.5pt73.3%
• Yes+1.5pt26.7%

Total Vol

$3.9M

24h Vol

$4K

KALSHI

Will the S&P finish positive this year?

• YesStored bid–ask93%–94%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 09:23 AM UTC
• NoStored bid–ask6%–7%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 09:23 AM UTC

Total Vol

$1.3M

24h Vol