Current community forecast
No 59.1%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJun 20, 25, 2:55 AM UTCDec 31, 30, 2:54 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a woman walk on the moon before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ?
Manifold MarketsWill a woman walk on the moon before a woman becomes Secretary General of the United Nations?
Manifold MarketsWill a woman walk on the moon before a woman is president of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWhat will be the next country to send a manned flight to the moon
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first woman to walk on the Moon is a Chinese national.
- Verification will be based on official announcements from space agencies such as NASA or the China National Space Administration (CNSA), and reputable news sources reporting on the event.
- As of June 2025, no woman has walked on the Moon.
- Both the United States and China have announced plans to send female astronauts to the lunar surface in the near future:
- United States: NASA's Artemis program aims to land the first woman on the Moon.
