Will the first major AI scare come from hacking? (ACX, AI 2027 Prediction #1)

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the first major AI scare come from hacking? (ACX, AI 2027 Prediction #1)?

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 66.4% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will the first major AI scare come from hacking? (ACX, AI 2027 Prediction #1) resolve?

Will the first major AI scare come from hacking? (ACX, AI 2027 Prediction #1) is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.

How is Will the first major AI scare come from hacking? (ACX, AI 2027 Prediction #1) settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Prediction #1 from:

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KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+4.6pt54.5%
• Gemini-4.1pt34.9%
• ChatGPT-0.8pt7.4%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$15.4M

24h Vol

$74.5K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt30.9%
• $1.5–$1.75T-4.3pt18.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.1pt18.6%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029-1.0pt20%
• 2028-1.0pt16%
• 2027-1.0pt8%

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

KALSHI

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

• Above 675T tokens88.5%
• Above 600T tokens50%
• Above 650T tokens99.5%

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-4.0pt56%
• 2026-1.5pt14%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1M

24h Vol

$46.9K

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