What are the current odds for Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 82.2% as of September 27, 2026.

Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028?

One-OffRegulation1y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 82.2%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Stale

Mar 8, 25, 5:52 PM UTCJul 1, 28, 6:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

YES if: The FAA has officially modified or repealed regulations (such as 14 CFR § 91.817) that currently prohibit civilian supersonic flight over U.S. land due to sonic boom concerns, and there is no replacement; so that, simply traveling fast is no longer illegal, or, similar changes to this same effect.

Official Sources for Resolution
FAA official announcements and regulatory filings.
Federal Register updates on aviation rule changes.
Congressional records or executive orders explicitly modifying the ban.
Major, credible news organizations reporting on a verifiable regulatory shift.

Report a data issue with this market

Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028?

One-OffRegulation1y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 82.2%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Stale

Mar 8, 25, 5:52 PM UTCJul 1, 28, 6:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Related Markets

Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.

Will the UK lift the football alcohol ban in 2026?

Kalshi

Will Ontario lift its U.S. alcohol restrictions in 2026?

Kalshi

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Polymarket

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Kalshi

Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

Kalshi

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

Kalshi

Rules

Official Sources for Resolution
FAA official announcements and regulatory filings.
Federal Register updates on aviation rule changes.
Congressional records or executive orders explicitly modifying the ban.
Major, credible news organizations reporting on a verifiable regulatory shift.

Report a data issue with this market

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028??: Manifold Markets prices Yes at 82.2% as of September 27, 2026.
When does Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028? resolve?: Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028? is scheduled to resolve on July 1, 2028.
How is Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028? settled?: Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: YES if: The FAA has officially modified or repealed regulations (such as 14 CFR § 91.817) that currently prohibit civilian supersonic flight over U.S. land due to sonic boom concerns, and there is no replacement; so that, simply traveling fast is no longer illegal, or, similar changes to this same effect.

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Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028?

Will the FAA Lift the Sonic Boom Ban by June 30, 2028?

Frequently asked questions

Use this market in code or an AI agent

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