What are the current odds for Will the CCRC refer Lucy Letby's case to the Court of Appeal??

Manifold Markets prices No at 70% as of October 31, 2026.

Will the CCRC refer Lucy Letby's case to the Court of Appeal?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

No 70%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Lagging

Sep 9, 24, 7:51 AM UTCAug 27, 27, 10:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Letby's new legal team have said they will make an application to the CCRC asking for them to refer her case base to the Court of Appeal.

This market will resolve YES if:
Her legal teams makes a submission to the CCRC, and the CCRC refers the case back to the Court of Appeal
It will resolve NO if:
Her legal team has made no submission to the CCRC before 1st September 2026
Her legal team makes a submission to the CCRC, and they decline to refer it to the Court of Appeal