Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 21, 2026, 1:50 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 88.8%
Forecasters
27
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 days ago
StaleDec 14, 23, 1:06 AMJan 1, 35, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes11%
Volume trend
$250Jul 202d of dataJul 21
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