Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 57.5%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJun 9, 26, 1:52 PM UTCDec 31, 31, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the new underground central through-station (Stuttgart Hauptbahnhof underground), which forms the core of the Stuttgart 21 project, officially opens and begins scheduled commercial passenger train operations on or before December 31, 2031.
- The market resolves to NO if the underground central through-station does not begin scheduled commercial passenger train operations by this date.
- Scheduled commercial passenger train operations are defined as regular, timetabled passenger trains (such as ICE, IC, or regional trains) actively carrying paying passengers through the new underground station.
- Partial openings of surrounding infrastructure, test runs, or preview events that do not include the official commencement of regular timetabled passenger service at the main underground station will not qualify for a YES resolution.
- The primary source of truth will be official announcements and timetables from Deutsche Bahn (DB) or the project's official portal Bahnprojekt Stuttgart-Ulm.
