Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030?

One-OffUS Politics Politics Crime & Justice

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No (97.9%)

Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, 12:47 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

No 97.9%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 25 days ago

Stale

Jan 28, 25, 11:40 PMJul 26, 26, 12:47 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes2.1%

No97.9%

97.9%

Yes

2.1%

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030?

One-OffUS Politics Politics Crime & Justice

Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

This market resolved: No (97.9%)

Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, 12:47 AM

Provider-verified resolution

CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.

Current community forecast

No 97.9%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 25 days ago

Stale

Jan 28, 25, 11:40 PMJul 26, 26, 12:47 AM

Probability Timeline

Yes2.1%

No97.9%

97.9%

Yes

2.1%

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030??: Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of July 26, 2026.
When does Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030? resolve?: Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on July 26, 2026.

Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030?

Will SCOTUS rule that 14A doesn't grant citizenship to US-born children of undocumented immigrant parents by 2030?

Frequently asked questions

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