Will Sarah Anderson et al prove Stability AI, Midjourney, and DeviantArt violated copyright laws in claim 1?
One-OffAICrime & JusticeRegulation2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:28 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 85.6%
Forecasters
50
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJan 14, 23, 10:50 PM UTCJan 15, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Stability AI convicted of infringing property rights by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Midjourney be found liable for copyright infringement in the Disney/Comcast lawsuit in 2026?
FutuurWill Australia loosen copyright laws to allow AI model training by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Stability AI fold by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Emad Mostaque (founder of Stability AI) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsSarah Friar remains OpenAI CFO on January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsRules
A class action lawsuit has been filed against Stability AI, Midjourney, and DeviantArt.
- Claim 1 deals with direct copyright violation - including:
- Defendants directly infringed Plaintiffs’ and the Class’s rights because they have:
- a. reproduced one or more of the Works in violation of 17 U.S.C. § 106(1); b. prepared Derivative Works based upon one or more of the Works in violation of 17 U.S.C. § 106(2);
- c. distributed copies of one or more of the Works to the public in violation of 17 U.S.C. § 106(3);
- d. performed one or more of the Works publicly in violation of 17 U.S.C. § 106(4); and/or
