Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 66.3%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Sep 13, 26, 8:01 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Roy Cooper win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election?
Manifold MarketsWill Roy Cooper run for and be elected Senator for North Carolina in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Roy Cooper win the North Carolina general election for US Senate in 2026?
ForecastExWho will win by a bigger percentage margin, Roy Cooper or Jon Ossoff?
Manifold MarketsNorth Carolina Senate election: Roy Cooper vote percent
KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRules
Resolves yes if Roy Cooper wins the 2026 North Carolina Senate race by 4% or more, and resolves no otherwise.
- The certified results will resolve this question, but I may resolve this soon after election day if resolution is obvious.
- I will use the New York times results page as the source for this.
- I may trade on this market.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Roy Cooper win by 4 points or more??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 66% as of September 17, 2026.
- When does Will Roy Cooper win by 4 points or more? resolve?
- Will Roy Cooper win by 4 points or more? is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026.
- How is Will Roy Cooper win by 4 points or more? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if Roy Cooper wins the 2026 North Carolina Senate race by 4% or more, and resolves no otherwise.