Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 54.5%
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LaggingFeb 18, 22, 8:14 PM UTCJan 1, 29, 5:00 AM UTC
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This question is a duplicate of another question (https://manifold.markets/dreev/will-ai-pass-the-turing-test-by-202) scheduled to close later.
- It is based on a bet between Ray Kurzweil and Mitchell Kapor, found here: https://longbets.org/1/
- This question will only resolve YES if the Long Now Foundation announces that Ray Kurzweil won the bet.
- It will resolve to NO if Mitchell Kapor is announced the winner instead.
- Each Turing Test Session will consist of at least three Turing Test Trials.
- For each such Turing Test Trial, a set of Turing Test Interviews will take place, followed by voting by the Turing Test Judges as described below.