Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 54.8%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleMay 21, 26, 3:06 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
KalshiWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
KalshiHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if OpenDroids (as associated with jackjay.io) publicly announces or discloses via regulatory filing, reputable financial news outlet, or official company statement that it has raised more than $2,000,000 in total external funding (equity, convertible notes, or similar) by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- If the company is acquired or ceases operations before this date without having reached the $2 million threshold, the market resolves to NO.
- In the event of ambiguity regarding funding amounts or public disclosure, the creator may resolve based on the best available evidence from primary sources.
- OpenDroids is a project associated with Jack Jay (jackjay.io).
Open markets
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $289.9K
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-11.0pt44%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-13.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before May 1, 2027+5.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-4.0pt47%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20.4%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.4%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.4%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $122.2K
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
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- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will OpenDroids (https://jackjay.io/) raise > $2 Million by EOY2028??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 55% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will OpenDroids (https://jackjay.io/) raise > $2 Million by EOY2028? resolve?
- Will OpenDroids (https://jackjay.io/) raise > $2 Million by EOY2028? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is Will OpenDroids (https://jackjay.io/) raise > $2 Million by EOY2028? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria